depletion, hunger and greater vulnerability of life zones
by Jules Dufour
. "The bubble burst deficits and rising public corollary of defaults States;
. The fatal collision of the Western banking system with rising defaults and the wall of maturing debt;
. The inevitable rise in interest rates;
. The multiplication of the subjects of international tension;
. The growing social insecurity. "
"In the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin N ° 42 , LEAP has chosen to analyze the" Greek case ", because it seems emblematic of what we reserved 2010 and because it "perfectly illustrates the evolution of information on the global crisis in the sense of a" communication war "between blocks and interests increasingly confrontational. Clearly, this is a must to achieve world decipher the information for months and years ahead will be an increasing vector manipulation operations (LEAP, 2010). I. Widespread depletion and increased hunger
This has and will exercise considerable impact on the economies of poor countries by making them more vulnerable to fluctuations in commodity prices and speculative attacks in the world market. According to the United Nations the impoverishment of millions of people will increase and so the procession of the hungry and homeless will increase. According to FAO , 925 million people suffer from chronic hunger worldwide in 2010 including 15 million in rich countries. According to the International Red Cross, more than 827.6 million live in substandard housing are forced to take refuge in slums (AFP-Geneva, 2010). According to the Conference Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) "the number of very poor countries has doubled in forty years from 25 in 1971 to 49 in 2010 and it was the same for the number of people living in extreme poverty since the 1980s "(AFP Geneva, 2010). In its 2010 report on the 49 least developed countries (LDCs) "UNCTAD believes that the development model that has prevailed so far in these countries failed and that its architecture is goodbye ( AFP Geneva, 2010).
II. Disasters of natural origin and a large-scale human
In this alarming situation. both North and South, has added a series of disasters of natural and man of great magnitude. According to the reinsurer Swiss Re, catastrophes have weighed heavily on the global economy in 2010, a strike of 222 billion, more than triple in 2009 (AFP Geneva, 2010). These disasters have been very devastating for the natural environment and human settlements: the earthquake in Haiti in January killed 225,000 people and devastated a significant portion of national territory; the passage of the storm Xynthia swept Western Europe in February, the same month, an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.8 hit Chile, the explosion of the oil rig Deepwater Horizon has caused the largest oil spill in the history of the United States in the Gulf of Mexico in April;; flooding of a magnitude unprecedented covered vast territories in Pakistan and China in July (AFP-Geneva, 2010).
III. Global military spending rose steadily
While cries of alarm organizations international ringing relentlessly on poverty, hunger and deprivation of hundreds of millions of inhabitants of this planet, rich countries spend huge sums to acquire arms for war and its preparation.
Arguably, the economic crisis has not affected the defense sector In fact, military spending continued to grow and 2010 figures and those planned for 2011 show very significant additional funds for the budgets for defense and security. Data budgets of the United States in the defense show substantial increases. Thus, the national defense budget of U.S. reached the sum of 661 billion dollars in 2009 and the one planned for 2011 should be around 749.5 billion dollars.
In 2010, spending for military activities properly-reached say, the United States, the sum of 719.2 billion dollars, assistance to Veterans $ 125.9 billion, foreign military assistance 9.9 billion and foreign economic aid 41.2 billion (http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/defense_budget_2010_3.html). Supply contracts for new combat equipment have skyrocketed. Agreements on purchases of fighter jets have been concluded with major manufacturing companies of war material, including with the company Lockheed Martin to build the stealth fighter F-35 .
According to the SIPRI database, in 2009, world military expenditures have atteiint the 1531 billion of which nearly half were made by the United States (Figures 1, 2 and 3). According to data from a report by SIPRI resumed I. Gedilaghine , "the World military spending has reached new records in 2009 without knowing the effect of economic crisis, driven by the United States where the change of administration could reverse the trends. During the past year the world spent 1.531 billion dollars (1.244 billion euros) to the military or at constant prices increased by 5.9% over 2008 and 49% compared to 2000 , writes the International Institute for Peace Research (SIPRI).
We can see that nothing is overlooked in the preparations for war and for security and surveillance reservoirs of strategic resources and production facilities. It is the prosperity of the most powerful of this world.
Figure 1. The are global military spending in 2009
Figure 2. U.S. Military Spending vs.. The World 2008
Figure 3. World military expenditure in 2009
IV. The vision of the European Laboratory Anticipation Politique/Europe2020 LEAP 2011
According LEAP, we go to the great failure of the economic system and financial world.
We reproduce here verbatim analysis of LEAP in 2011. It reveals that in the coming months we will see a gradual deterioration of the U.S. economy with devastating effects "abprd for more than 60 million people living in the United States itself and for all layers Western society.
"As anticipated by LEAP/E2020 last February in GEAB No. 42, the second half of 2010 is characterized by a sudden intensification of the crisis marked by the end of the illusion recovery maintained by Western leaders and the thousands of billions engulfed by banks and plans to "stimulate" sustainable economic ineffective.
The coming months will reveal a simple, yet painful reality: the Western economy, particularly the U.S., is never really out of recession. " Bursts statistics recorded since summer 2009 have been the consequences of passing a massive injection of liquidity into a system essentially became insolvent in the image of the consumer American. "
At the heart of the global systemic crisis since its inception, the United States will therefore show in the coming months they are again trying to drive the global economy and finance in the "heart of darkness "because they fail to get out of this" Very Great U.S. Depression.
Thus, following the political upheavals of the American elections next November, amid growth rates again become negative, the world will face the "Very Great Failure" of economic system and global financial founded over 60 years on the absolute necessity for the U.S. economy will never be lasting recession.
Now the first half of 2011 will require the U.S. economy an unprecedented austerity plunging the planet into a new financial chaos, monetary, economic and social development.
The coming quarters will be particularly dangerous for the global economy and financial system.
The Fed chief, Ben Bernanke moreover, conveyed the message as diplomatically as possible at the recent meeting of global central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming: Although the policy to boost the U.S. economy has failed, or the rest of the world continues to be funded U.S. deficits and the loss of hope that at some point this gamble will pay off and has avoided a collapse of the global system, or the U.S. will monetize debt and convert into money all the monkeys Dollars and U.S. Treasury Bonds possessed by the rest of the planet.
Like any power cornered the United States and are now forced to join the threat to the pressure to obtain what they want. There are just over one year, leaders and financial officials around the world had volunteered to "refloat the ship USA.
Today however things have changed since the beautiful assurance that Washington turned out to be pure arrogance based on the pretense of having understood the nature of the crisis and the illusion possess the means of control.
However, U.S. growth quarter after quarter and evaporates again become negative from the end of 2010, unemployment never ceases to grow between stability and the official figures released in six months over two million Americans Market employment, the U.S. housing market continues to be depressed at historically low levels and will resume its fall from the fourth quarter of 2010, and finally, as can easily imagine in these circumstances, the U.S. consumer is and will remain permanently absent subscribers since its insolvency persists even worse for the American in five is unemployed.
Behind these statistical considerations lie two realities that will radically change the political landscape, economic and social American and world coming quarters as and when they emerge in the collective consciousness.
Popular anger will paralyze Washington from November 2010.
First, there is a very popular dark reality is that tens of millions of Americans (nearly sixty million now depend on the good food) that now have no job, no home, more savings and wondering how they will survive in the coming years . "( Global systemic crisis )"
Conclusion
World population will reach in 2011, seven billion people. Since most of the workforce (more than 80 million people) are added each year in developing countries it is arguably the rate of vulnerability of their living areas continue to grow causing more victims and greater damage to human settlements. According to Hervé DOMENACH, Demographer, Research Director at the Institute of Development Research, "about 95% of growth in the world today relates to non-Western countries, and the proportion of their workforce in the world population was 68% in 1950, would reach 87% in 2050. If these estimates are confirmed, there will be a great redistribution of world population (% http://www.x-environnement.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=51 3Asept-2007 & ; catid = 36% 3Ajaune Red & Itemid = 41 & limitstart = 3). This reality should lead to a gradual shift from the forces of global governance to emerging countries and countries with major strategic resources.
The global geopolitical landscape will likely change gradually and that is predictable, for 2011, we believe that to be marked by increasing political tensions, as gradually as Western economies continue to sink in the steep and deep ditch budget deficits and other destabilizing factors act on global governance. The doctrine of preventive military intervention promoted since the beginning of the century by the United States with the global war against terror could be applied by regional powers but the powers of the great powers continue to prevail for much longer by fanning hot spots like North Korea, the Middle East or the environment created by the resistance of members of ALBA. Among the factors we have the manifestations of the will to power of Russia and the strategy of conquest of China for new sources of raw materials and markets for financial and economic emergence.
It is undeniable that the wars invasion and occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan have stretched the limits of their useful life by being, for imperialism, more and more difficult to justify. In Afghanistan, the national army and consolidated now better equipped for fighting replace coalition forces. A modus operandi "normal" will be established with the support of the military and economic aid from Western powers. Afghanistan will become an anchor for the continental United States and NATO as the role played by Israel in the Middle East and Colombia in Latin America.
can be glimpsed on the horizon however, a slow and inexorable decline of the West that will fit in a logical contingencies created by obeying its demographic increasingly weak in the whole world. Issues of high intensity will be needed to mobilize the global economy behind the continued hegemony of the superpowers. Triggering a nuclear war against Iran and North Korea? Another 11? Muscular invasion of Venezuela? For the strategists of the Pentagon and the White House no options will be excluded to protect the interests of world power.
| Source www.mondialisation.ca/ HERE References AFP. 2010. In brief. The cost of hunger. ActionAid. The Devoir.com, September 14, 2010, p. B5. Online: http://www.ledevoir.com/international/actualites-internationales/296116/en-bref-le-cout-de-la-faim AFP-GENEVA. 2010. A report by the International Red Cross. One billion people live in slums. These populations are most vulnerable to disasters. Le Devoir, September 22, 2010, p. B7. AFP-GENEVA. 2010. Cry for help from UNCTAD. The number of very poor countries has doubled in forty years. Newspaper Le Devoir, September 26, 2010, p. A7. AFP-GENEVA. 2010. Disasters cost $ 222 billion into the global economy. Le Devoir, 1 December 2010, p. B5. Arthus-Bertrand, Yann. 2009. HOME. Decipher. Informed. Discuss. Understand. Act. Paris, Mame. 2009. 190 pages. Dufour, Jules. 2009. A world war to rescue the American Empire. Montreal, Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG). On March 3, 2009. Online: http://www.mondialisation.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=12533 Dufour, Jules. 2009. The great global reset. Montreal, Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG). On May 5, 2009. Online: http://www.mondialisation.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=13162 ENGDAHL, JF, 2010. The geopolitics behind the war drum of the United States in Afghanistan. Montreal, Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG). On November 2, 2009. Online: http://www.mondialisation.ca/index.php?context=va&aid=15909 FAO. 2010. 925 million people suffering from chronic hunger worldwide. Despite an improvement, this level remains "unacceptable." Press Room. On 14 October 2010. Online: http://www.fao.org/news/story/fr/item/45232/icode/ GEDILAGHINE, Igor. 2010. World military expenditure know neither crisis nor Obama effect. AFP. France-Amerique. French newspaper of the Americas. June 1, 2010. Online: http://www.france-amerique.com/articles/2010/06/01/les_depenses_militaires_mondiales_ne_connaissent_ni_crise_ni_effet_obama.html SHAH, Anup. 2010. World Military Spending. Global Issues.org. Social, Political, Economic and Environmental Issues That Affect Us All. On July 7, 2010. Online: http://www.globalissues.org/article/75/world-military-spending # WorldMilitarySpending Wikepedia. 2010. Deepwater Horizon. Online: http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deepwater_Horizon Websites Global systemic crisis-Spring 2011. May 5, 2010: http://www.i-services.net/newsbox/151229-97380-1643-47311/crise-systemique-globale-printemps-2011.php European Laboratory Anticipation Politique/Europe2020 (LEAP/E2020): http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leap/Europe2020 Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II: http:// fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-35_Lightning_II List of Countries by Military Expenditures. Online: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_military_expenditures U.S. Defense Budget: http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/defense_budget_2010_3.html Worldometers - Global Statistics Real-time http://www.worldometers.info/fr/  Jules Dufour, Ph.D., is president of the Canadian Association for the United Nations (UNA) / Section Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean, Professor Emeritus at the University of Quebec at Chicoutimi, a member of the circle Universal Peace Ambassadors, member knight of the Ordre national du Québec . He is a Research Associate at the CRM (Centre for Research on Globalization). | |
| Jules Dufour is a regular contributor Mondialisation.ca. articles published by Jules Dufour Mondialisation.ca | |
| | |
| | |
| | |
0 comments:
Post a Comment